2023/12/10-2023/12/16

12/11
「軍事營區安全維護條例」草案完成朝野協商,近日將完成立法。草案賦予國軍將部隊操演所到之處,皆定義為軍事營區;軍方得對「違規」如擅自攝影者,管制、驅離、法辦與罰鍰等;甚至能事後搜索社群或媒體刊登內容,主觀認為有危安疑慮,都可開罰甚至法辦。此案被質疑擴權。

December 11: 
Cross-partisan negotiations on a draft bill to tighten security at military facilities have been completed, and legislation is expected in the near future. The proposed legislation empowers the Armed Forces to define military camps as wherever troops conduct military exercises; the military can control, expel, prosecute, and fine "violators" such as those who take unauthorized photos; it can even search social media or material published by the media afterward if the content is considered to have security concerns; fines may even be issued and legal action taken. The bill has attracted scrutiny about expansion of the executive powers.


12/11
國防部軍事安全總隊及高檢署聯手7月底破獲共諜案,現經查7名現役軍官涉案遭起訴。據週刊掌握檢方資料,中共承諾我涉案軍官,駕駛CH-47SD Chinook成功降落共軍山東艦,將獲1500萬美元報酬。

December 11: 
The military security corps of the Ministry of National Defense and the Taiwan High Prosecutor's Office jointly cracked a spy case at the end of July. Seven active-duty officers found involved are now being prosecuted. According to information provided by the prosecution cited by a news weekly, Communist China promised that the officers involved would receive an award of US$15 million for successfully landing the CH-47SD Chinook on the People's Liberation Army (PLA) aircraft carrier Shandong.


12/11
國民黨總統候選人侯友宜公布國防外交政見:透過十大建設打造可嚇阻戰力,就職十個月內公布「中華民國國家安全戰略」,將三D戰略(嚇阻、對話、降低風險)具體化,並深化與美國軍事交流;成立行政院全民防衛動員委員會,由副院長主持,改進軍事教育;增加百億預算讓志願役每月加薪萬元。

December 11: 
Kuomintang (KMT) presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih announced his platform on national defense and foreign policy. He proposes to create a deterrent military force through 10 major projects. He will announce a "National Security Strategy" of the Republic of China (Taiwan) within 10 months of taking office and will make concrete a three-dimensional strategy (deterrence, dialogue, and reduction of risk) and deepen military exchanges with the United States. Additionally, he plans to establish under the Executive Yuan a National Defense Mobilization Committee chaired by the vice premier to improve military education and increase the budget by millions to raise the monthly salary of volunteer military personnel by NT$10,000 (about US$318).


12/12
喬治華盛頓大學艾略特國際事務學院教授Robert Sutte在雜誌The Diplomat專文指出,無論2024總總統大選誰當選,美政策都會延續;更要關注的是美國大選,若川普重返白宮,以其高舉「美國優先」原則,加上行事作風難料,將對華府的兩岸政策投下變數,甚至對台灣帶來不利影響。

December 12: 
Robert Sutter, a professor at the Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University, opined in the Diplomat that no matter who is elected in Taiwan's 2024 presidential election, U.S. policies will remain consistent. What is more important is the American election. If former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, his "America First" principle and unpredictable behavior will cast a variable on Washington's policy on the Taiwan Strait and may even pose an adverse impact on Taiwan.


12/14
央行公布最新預測,今年經濟成長率從1.46%再下調至1.4%,明年預測值則從3.08%調高至3.12%。物價方面,央行預估今年CPI年增率為2.46%,明年將下滑至1.89%,低於2%通膨警戒線。
雖然美國聯準會表態明年將降息三次,央行總裁楊金龍並未鬆口,僅說「升息循環接近尾聲」。

December 14: 
The Central Bank announced its latest forecast, revising down Taiwan’s economic growth rate this year to 1.4 percent from 1.46 percent, while the forecast for next year has been raised to 3.12 percent from 3.08 percent. In terms of prices, the Central Bank predicts that the annual growth in the consumer price index (CPI) this year will be 2.46 percent, and it will fall to 1.89 percent next year, below the 2 percent threshold.
Although the Federal Reserve has stated that it will cut interest rates three times next year, Governor Yang Chin-lung of the Central Bank has not disclosed additional any information, only saying that the interest rate cycle is coming to an end.


12/15
「電子五哥」全球分散生產據點策略明確,除鴻海、和碩、緯創已在印度設廠,代工廠仁寶傳也將因通訊客戶要求前進印度;仁寶總經理翁宗斌證實,集團的確有在考慮,但還沒有正式確定。

December 15: 
Taiwan's five major electronics firms are decentralizing production bases. In addition to Hon Hai (Foxconn), Pegatron, and Wistron, which have already set up plants in India, contract manufacturer Compal Electronics will also move to India due to the request of communications customers. Compal General Manager Wong Chung-pin confirmed that the group is indeed considering the option, but no official decision has been made yet.


12/15
中國商務部提前宣布對台進行貿易壁壘調查的公告,正式認定台灣的貿易限制措施構成「貿易壁壘」,未來可透過雙邊磋商、啟動多邊爭端解決機制,和「採取其他適當的措施」因應。
行政院回應,中國對我方片面進行貿易璧壘調查及調查結果,違反WTO機制與規範,也完全不符事實,絕不接受,呼籲中方立即停止政治操作。

December 15: 
Mainland China's Ministry of Commerce announced in advance a trade barrier investigation against Taiwan after officially determining that Taiwan's restrictive measures constitute "trade barriers." In the future, it can respond through bilateral consultations, a multilateral dispute settlement mechanism, and "other appropriate measures."
The Executive Yuan responded that China's unilateral trade barrier investigation and investigation results against Taiwan violate World Trade Organization (WTO) mechanisms and norms and are completely inconsistent with the facts. Taiwan will not accept it and calls on China to immediately stop political manipulation.


12/15
美國參眾議院先後表決通過明年度國防授權法,超過8000億美元的預算中包含為軍人加薪、應對中國大陸競爭、支持AUKUS協議,以及協助台灣強化自我防衛能力的計畫。下一步將送交白宮,由總統拜登簽署成案。

December 15: 
Both houses of the United States Congress have successively passed the National Defense Authorization Act for the next fiscal year. The budget of more than $800 billion includes plans to increase salaries for soldiers, respond to competition from China, support the AUKUS initiative, and assist Taiwan in strengthening its self-defense capabilities. The next step will be to submit the bill to the White House for President Joe Biden to sign into law.