Published since 2019 by the Fair Winds Foundation and Association of Foreign Relations, Taiwan Weekly provides in-depth report and analysis of the major issues facing Taiwan.
Demand to Move Taiwan's Liaison Office in South Arica Causes Diplomatic Turmoil
South Africa’s demand that Taiwan relocate the Taipei Liaison Office from the capital city of Pretoria within six months has posed a significant challenge to bilateral relations. Such a request reflects South Africa government’s leaning toward the “One China” policy, suggesting that Taiwan’s diplomatic space is becoming increasingly constrained. Broadly speaking, the deterioration of cross-strait relations is indeed impacting Taiwan’s diplomacy, leading to heightened international isolation and forcing Taiwan to adopt more flexible and innovative approaches.
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This Week in Taiwan 1020-1026
October 20: During his inspection tour in Anhui Province on April 17, Chinese President XI Jinping visited a Rocket Force base. According to Hong Kong media, it was likely the 611 Brigade of the Rocket Force's 61st Base, which covers the Taiwan Strait. It is possible that Xi inspected the new Dongfeng-26 ballistic missile. The Dongfeng-26 is the world's largest medium-and long-range anti-ship ballistic missile in active service, with a range of 5,000 kilometers, covering the American military base in Guam. The Singapore United Morning Most analyzed that Xi's intention was to target the United States and deter Taiwan independence.
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Strong Warning from Joint Sword-2024B Exercises
The anticipated People’s Liberation Army (PLA) "Joint Sword-2024B" military exercise took place as scheduled but concluded unexpectedly within a single day. This signals a political message to the United States, the administration of President Lai Ching-te, and the people of Taiwan, which has been widely interpreted. This article focuses on the military strategic implications.
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"Youth Service Consent" Halted, Is "Student Deployment" Causing Panic？
A high school "Youth Service Consent Form" has stirred up significant concerns, which the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) administration likely did not anticipate. Despite the Ministry of Education (MOE) announcing on October 17 that the consent form would no longer be used, and that it would adjust the "Youth Service Mobilization Preparation Classification Plan," the mobilization for war and the panic over "student deployment" continues to spread in society.
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Minister Kuo's Whimsical Ideas Expose Lies Behind Energy Policy
Minister of Economic Affairs J.W. Kuo's statement that "We should build green power plants in the Philippines and transfer the electricity back to Taiwan" has sparked public outrage. Although Minister Kuo has apologized, he did not retract the idea. The Executive Yuan further stated that countries in the region with similar goals could collaborate on carbon reduction, confirming that the proposal to develop energy in the Philippines is not just a personal notion of Minister Kuo’s but a strategic direction that the government is considering.
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This Week in Taiwan 1013-1019
October 13: The recall vote for Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang resulted in 86,014 votes (55.1 percent) against and 69,934 votes (44.8 percent) in favor, so the recall was not passed. This case is seen as a prelude to the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) large-scale recall campaign against opposition legislators next year. To prevent malicious political manipulation of recalls, the opposition party plans to push for amendments to the law to raise the recall threshold.
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President Lai's National Day Address Seeks Right to R.O.C. Narrative
The National Day of the Republic of China (Taiwan) on October 10 passed without major incident, marked by President Lai Ching-te's address, which adhered to the familiar new “Two State theory." Under apparent pressure from the United States, President Lai refrained from provocative statements, achieving a balance that left the United States satisfied, Taiwan stable, and mainland China unalarmed. How President Lai's speech is interpreted is critical for future cross-strait relations.
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A Look at President Lai's National Security Team through Two Press Releases
Recently, the Ministry of National Defense (MND) has been preoccupied with clarifications of and denials on the news reports about the controversies of the U.S. arms sales to Taiwan. What troubles the public the most is the opaque messages presented by the MND, and its shirking of responsibility, attributing to the manipulation of "American-skeptic” theory and the cognitive warfare.
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66％ Believe Taiwan should Neither Lean Towards U.S. or China
According to the annual survey on cross-strait relations conducted by the United Daily News, 66 percent of the general public believe Taiwan should not lean toward either the United States, or China. If a military conflict occurs between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, 49 percent% of respondents believe that the United States would send troops to defend Taiwan, while 42 percent think it would not.
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This Week in Taiwan 1006-1012
October 5: During his remarks at a National Day celebration event, President Lai Ching-te stated that the People's Republic of China just celebrated its 75th birthday, while the Republic of China is about to celebrate its 113th birthday. In terms of age, it is impossible for the P.R.C. to be the motherland of the people of the R.O.C. On the contrary, the R.O.C. instead might be the motherland of people over 75 years old in the P.R.C. According to President Lai, however, since the R.O.C. has taken root in Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matsu for 75 years, there is no need to discuss this relationship anymore.
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